If Various Countries Continue To Have US
Monday, August 16th, 2010Explanation: continues to purchase in the American bond short-term to increase possibly holds the strategy invariable.The letter negotiable securities (600030, stock) macroscopic analyst Zhu Jianfang judges. Analysis: Zhu Jianfang believed that in the short-term China increases holds the American national debt strategy possibly maintains invariable, but the scope possibly gradually reduces. Its root is: In global finance day by day integration today, if various countries continue to have US dollar property not to undersell, even increases holds the American national debt, such result can cause the global economic to lose is smallest. Various countries’ Central Bank and the sovereignty fund passively will possibly increase holds the American national debt, if because the laissez faire US presented likely 19291933 the similar crisis, US dollar had the possibility to depreciate largely once again, various countries will face the large amount loss (Figure 5). The transformation foreign exchange reserve management’s mentality appears very urgent (Figure 6).
The Social Science Institute world economics and political research institute Researcher Zhang Ming indicated that The US government financial deficit in 2007 only then more than 2000 hundred million US dollars, in 2008 480,000,000,000 US dollars, in 2009 in the first quarter 430,000,000,000 US dollars, if did not consider that Austria Pama Government more than 7000 hundred million US dollars rescue the city plan are 1,200,000,000,000. if the situation continues, in the future the US domestic presented the bloating, US dollar depreciation’s possibility is big.
